6 Nov · 00:25 MEZMedium · Model Lean
ON
🇺🇦Oleksandr Naida
ELO 1572
FormWWWWW
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Naida
SA
🇺🇦Spartak Abalmaz
ELO 1525
FormWWWWL
55%
45%
🔥 Underdog lean · Abalmaz🌟Abalmaz covers set handicap as underdog 67% (112)
Fair odds · Naida
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 42% · 2.37· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~76 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
17%
1-3
17%
3-0
17%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+47
H2H48-73
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+47)