6 Nov · 02:35 MEZMedium · Model Lean
MF
🇺🇦Mykyta Fomin
ELO 1451
FormWWWLW
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Fomin
AP
🇺🇦Andrii Peretiatko
ELO 1403
FormLLLLL
55%
45%
🌟Fomin rarely covers set handicap as favourite 33% (120)
Fair odds · Fomin
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 49% · 2.06· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~77 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
17%
1-3
17%
3-0
17%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+48
H2H26-33
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+48)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)