6 Nov · 01:55 MEZLow · Coin Flip
OM
🇺🇦Oleksandr Melashenko
ELO 1565
FormWLWLW
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Naida
ON
🇺🇦Oleksandr Naida
ELO 1572
FormWWWWW
49%
51%
🌟Naida rarely covers set handicap as favourite 37% (172)
Fair odds · Naida
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 44% · 2.27· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~76 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
19%
3-2
18%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+7
H2H22-22
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.