6 Nov · 04:25 MEZLow · Slight Edge
OM
🇺🇦Oleksandr Melashenko
ELO 1565
FormWLWLW
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Melashenko
SA
🇺🇦Spartak Abalmaz
ELO 1525
FormWWWWL
54%
46%
🌟Abalmaz covers set handicap as underdog 67% (112)
Fair odds · Melashenko
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 41% · 2.46· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~77 pts
3-1
21%
1-3
17%
3-2
17%
3-0
17%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+40
H2H16-24
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.