5 Nov · 22:45 MEZMedium · Model Lean
AM
🇺🇦Anton Molochko
ELO 1761
FormLLWWL
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Molochko
BK
🇺🇦Bohdan Kohut
ELO 1703
FormWLLLL
56%
44%
Fair odds · Molochko
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 63% · 1.60· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~77 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
18%
3-0
17%
1-3
17%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+58
H2H103-42
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+58)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (103-42)