6 Nov · 00:00 MEZLow · Slight Edge
IR
🇺🇦Ivan Romaniak
ELO 1485
FormLLLLL
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Napirko
ON
🇺🇦Oleh Napirko
ELO 1509
FormLLWWL
47%
53%
Fair odds · Napirko
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 42% · 2.40· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~76 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+24
H2H4-5
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.