6 Nov · 05:55 MEZLow · Coin Flip
ON
🇺🇦Oleksandr Naida
ELO 1572
FormWWWWW
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Gnoevoy
RG
🇺🇦Roman Gnoevoy
ELO 1578
FormLLLLL
49%
51%
Fair odds · Gnoevoy
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 55% · 1.81· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~76 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
19%
3-2
18%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+6
H2H96-103
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.