5 Nov · 23:00 MEZMedium · Model Lean
RH
🇺🇦Ruslan Haiseniuk
ELO 1538
FormWLLWL
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Haiseniuk
IR
🇺🇦Ivan Romaniak
ELO 1485
FormLLLLL
56%
44%
Fair odds · Haiseniuk
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~75 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
17%
3-0
17%
1-3
17%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+53
H2H11-6
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+53)
- ✓Better recent form (2-3)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (11-6)