6 Nov · 00:55 MEZLow · Slight Edge
VK
🇺🇦Vitalii Khamurda
ELO 1509
FormWLWLW
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Khamurda
TP
🇺🇦Tymur Ponomarenko
ELO 1468
FormLWLLL
54%
46%
🌟Khamurda rarely covers set handicap as favourite 37% (167)
Fair odds · Khamurda
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 56% · 1.77· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~74 pts
3-1
21%
1-3
17%
3-2
17%
3-0
17%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+41
H2H21-15
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.