6 Nov · 04:35 MEZLow · Slight Edge
AP
🇺🇦Andrii Peretiatko
ELO 1403
FormLLLLL
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Us
DU
🇺🇦Danylo Us
ELO 1444
FormLWWWL
46%
54%
🌟Us rarely covers set handicap as favourite 28% (85)
Fair odds · Us
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 51% · 1.95· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~78 pts
1-3
21%
3-1
17%
2-3
17%
0-3
17%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+41
H2H16-15
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.