6 Nov · 04:00 MEZMedium · Model Lean
SR
🇺🇦Serhii Rak
ELO 1689
FormWWLWW
59%Win chancemodel fair 1.69Rak
IK
🇺🇦Ivan Kozachuk
ELO 1605
FormLWWWL
59%
41%
🌟Kozachuk stays under total as underdog 64% (277)
Fair odds · Rak
Model 59% · 1.69vsMarket 65% · 1.55· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~75 pts
3-1
22%
3-2
18%
3-0
18%
1-3
15%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+84
H2H102-66
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+84)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (102-66)