6 Nov · 04:30 MEZLow · Slight Edge
RH
🇺🇦Ruslan Haiseniuk
ELO 1538
FormWLLWL
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Haiseniuk
ON
🇺🇦Oleh Napirko
ELO 1509
FormLLWWL
53%
47%
Fair odds · Haiseniuk
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~75 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
17%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+29
H2H57-42
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.