6 Nov · 07:25 MEZLow · Slight Edge
YT
🇺🇦Yaroslav Tebenko
ELO 1584
FormWWWLL
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Pytsko
IP
🇺🇦Ivan Pytsko
ELO 1618
FormLLLWW
46%
54%
🌟Tebenko covers set handicap as underdog 66% (270)
Fair odds · Pytsko
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~76 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
17%
2-3
17%
3-2
17%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+34
H2H74-57
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.