6 Nov · 23:05 MEZLow · Coin Flip
YK
🇺🇦Yan Krol
ELO 1565
FormWWLLW
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Krol
KH
🇺🇦Kostiantyn Hrynenko
ELO 1555
FormWLLLW
51%
49%
Fair odds · Krol
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~76 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
18%
2-3
18%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+10
H2H50-39
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.