7 Nov · 05:35 MEZLow · Slight Edge
OG
🇺🇦Oleksandr Gomilko
ELO 1593
FormLWLWL
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Gomilko
KH
🇺🇦Kostiantyn Hrynenko
ELO 1555
FormWLLLW
54%
46%
Fair odds · Gomilko
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 56% · 1.79· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~74 pts
3-1
21%
1-3
17%
3-2
17%
3-0
17%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+38
H2H47-39
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.