7 Nov · 04:35 MEZMedium · Model Lean
MM
🇺🇦Maxim Marchuk
ELO 1487
FormWLWWL
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Hrynenko
KH
🇺🇦Kostiantyn Hrynenko
ELO 1555
FormWLLLW
43%
57%
🌟Marchuk stays under total as underdog 64% (95)
Fair odds · Hrynenko
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~75 pts
1-3
22%
2-3
18%
0-3
18%
3-1
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+68
H2H37-33
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+68)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (37-33)