7 Nov · 03:05 MEZLow · Slight Edge
DD
🇺🇦Dmytro Derevynskyi
ELO 1578
FormWWLWL
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Derevynskyi
KH
🇺🇦Kostiantyn Hrynenko
ELO 1555
FormWLLLW
52%
48%
🔥 Underdog lean · Hrynenko
Fair odds · Derevynskyi
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 56% · 1.79· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~76 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+23
H2H94-54
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.