7 Nov · 07:50 MEZMedium · Model Lean
OS
🇺🇦Oleksandr Shkurupii
ELO 1529
FormWWLLL
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Shkurupii
DN
🇺🇦Dmytro Neborak
ELO 1470
FormLLLWL
56%
44%
Fair odds · Shkurupii
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 56% · 1.79· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~77 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
18%
3-0
17%
1-3
16%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+59
H2H136-63
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+59)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (136-63)