7 Nov · 07:05 MEZMedium · Model Lean
OB
🇺🇦Oleh Bindas
ELO 1703
FormLWWWL
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Bindas
DS
🇺🇦Denys Shcherbak
ELO 1649
FormLWLWW
56%
44%
Fair odds · Bindas
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 63% · 1.60· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~76 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
17%
3-0
17%
1-3
17%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+54
H2H33-14
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+54)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (33-14)