7 Nov · 06:35 MEZMedium · Model Lean
IK
🇺🇦Ivan Kozachuk
ELO 1592
FormLLWLL
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Kozachuk
RH
🇺🇦Ruslan Haiseniuk
ELO 1527
FormWLWLL
57%
43%
Fair odds · Kozachuk
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 59% · 1.70· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~75 pts
3-1
22%
3-2
18%
3-0
17%
1-3
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+65
H2H24-12
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+65)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (24-12)