7 Nov · 07:05 MEZMedium · Model Lean
YK
🇺🇦Yaroslav Kovshun
ELO 1593
FormLLWLL
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Kovshun
MT
🇺🇦Maksym Tiutiunnyk
ELO 1524
FormLLWLL
57%
43%
🔥 Underdog lean · Tiutiunnyk
Fair odds · Kovshun
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 41% · 2.43· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~77 pts
3-1
22%
3-2
18%
3-0
18%
1-3
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+69
H2H4-8
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+69)