7 Nov · 07:30 MEZMedium · Model Lean
AP
🇺🇦Adam Pavlik
ELO 1551
FormLWWWL
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Brichacek
DB
🇺🇦David Brichacek
ELO 1615
FormWWLWL
43%
57%
🌟Pavlik covers set handicap as underdog 65% (79)
Fair odds · Brichacek
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 51% · 1.94· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~74 pts
1-3
22%
2-3
18%
0-3
17%
3-1
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+64
H2H2-3
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+64)