7 Nov · 06:30 MEZLow · Slight Edge
PO
🇺🇦Pavlo Ostrovskyi
ELO 1382
FormWWWWL
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Ostrovskyi
VS
🇺🇦Vladyslav Stukalov
ELO 1362
FormLLWLL
52%
48%
Fair odds · Ostrovskyi
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 58% · 1.73· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~73 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+20
H2H2-1
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.