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← Setka Cup predictions
07 Nov · 17:30 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
OLOleksandr Leonenko
🇺🇦Oleksandr Leonenko
ELO 1458
3-1Final setsLeonenko won
VSVasiliy Smyk
🇺🇦Vasiliy Smyk
ELO 1465
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Leonenko at 53%. The actual result was Oleksandr Leonenko 3-1 — the pick was correct.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Smyk favoured — closing 1.43
Upset
Total 82.5
81 points played
Under
Set handicap
Smyk −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Smyk −5.5 points
No cover
Total sets 3.5
closing 1.36
Over
Exact score
market priced 3-1 at close
7.3
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Oleksandr Leonenko is favoured to win, below means Vasiliy Smyk.

▲ Oleksandr Leonenkopre 57% → final 100%
Vasiliy Smyk ▼
Biggest swing 76 ptsLeonenko recovered from 24%72 points · 4 games