8 Nov · 07:50 MEZMedium · Model Lean
OO
🇺🇦Oleksandr Osadchyi
ELO 1510
FormWWLWW
58%Win chancemodel fair 1.72Osadchyi
EP
🇺🇦Eduard Populovskyi
ELO 1436
FormLLLLL
58%
42%
Fair odds · Osadchyi
Model 58% · 1.72vsMarket 77% · 1.31· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~73 pts
3-1
22%
3-2
18%
3-0
18%
1-3
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+74
H2H30-7
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+74)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (30-7)