9 Nov · 07:30 MEZMedium · Model Lean
SH
🇺🇦Stepan Hryhorenko
ELO 1496
FormWLLWL
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Bilobrov
VB
🇺🇦Volodymyr Bilobrov
ELO 1563
FormLLLLW
43%
57%
🌟Bilobrov stays under total as favourite 63% (83)
Fair odds · Bilobrov
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 65% · 1.55· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~75 pts
1-3
22%
2-3
18%
0-3
17%
3-1
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+67
H2H4-2
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+67)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (4-2)