9 Nov · 07:15 MEZHigh · Clear Favorite
MU
🇺🇦Miloslav Ullman
ELO 1526
FormLLLWW
62%Win chancemodel fair 1.61Dobias
LD
🇺🇦Ladislav Dobias
ELO 1645
FormWLWLW
38%
62%
🔥 Underdog lean · Ullman🌟Dobias rarely covers set handicap as favourite 34% (356)
Fair odds · Dobias
Model 62% · 1.61vsMarket 59% · 1.70· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 45%Total ~76 pts
1-3
23%
0-3
22%
2-3
17%
3-2
14%
3-1
14%
Elo Gap+119
H2H7-3
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+119)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (7-3)