9 Nov · 08:00 MEZLow · Slight Edge
LK
🇺🇦Lukas Krutina
ELO 1441
FormWLWLW
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Krutina
MV
🇺🇦Martin Vorel
ELO 1410
FormLWWWW
53%
47%
🔥 Underdog lean · Vorel🌟Krutina rarely covers set handicap as favourite 35% (91)
Fair odds · Krutina
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 42% · 2.36· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~76 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
17%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+31
H2H1-2
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.