9 Nov · 07:55 MEZMedium · Model Lean
MT
🇺🇦Mykolay Treschetka
ELO 1443
FormWWWWL
59%Win chancemodel fair 1.69Treschetka
OM
🇺🇦Oleh Maksymkiv
ELO 1359
FormLLLLL
59%
41%
Fair odds · Treschetka
Model 59% · 1.69vsMarket 69% · 1.45· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~76 pts
3-1
22%
3-2
18%
3-0
18%
1-3
15%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+84
H2H69-34
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+84)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (69-34)