9 Nov · 07:25 MEZLow · Coin Flip
VH
🇺🇦Valerii Hel
ELO 1518
FormLWWLW
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Kheresko
VK
🇺🇦Vsevolod Kheresko
ELO 1532
FormWLWWW
49%
51%
🌟Hel covers set handicap as underdog 65% (71)
Fair odds · Kheresko
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 56% · 1.79· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~73 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+14
H2H6-6
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.