9 Nov · 08:00 MEZMedium · Model Lean
VK
🇺🇦Volodymyr Khyzhnyak
ELO 1379
FormWWLWW
58%Win chancemodel fair 1.72Khyzhnyak
YU
🇺🇦Yurii Urezchenko
ELO 1299
FormLLLLW
58%
42%
Fair odds · Khyzhnyak
Model 58% · 1.72vsMarket 69% · 1.45· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~75 pts
3-1
22%
3-2
18%
3-0
18%
1-3
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+80
H2H17-11
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+80)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (17-11)