9 Nov · 08:00 MEZElite · Strong Favorite
VK
🇺🇦Valerii Kolesnykov
ELO 1497
FormLWLLL
68%Win chancemodel fair 1.47Troyan
AT
🇺🇦Andrey Troyan
ELO 1673
FormWLWWW
32%
68%
🌟Kolesnykov covers set handicap as underdog 62% (128)
Fair odds · Troyan
Model 68% · 1.47vsMarket 75% · 1.33· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 49%Total ~73 pts
1-3
26%
0-3
24%
2-3
19%
3-2
12%
3-1
12%
Elo Gap+176
H2H50-11
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+176)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (50-11)