9 Nov · 07:30 MEZLow · Slight Edge
JM
🇺🇦Jakub Mejzlik
ELO 1479
FormLLWLL
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Mejzlik
MH
🇺🇦Martin Holub
ELO 1438
FormLWLLW
54%
46%
🔥 Underdog lean · Holub🌟Holub covers set handicap as underdog 71% (120)
Fair odds · Mejzlik
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 66% · 1.51· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~75 pts
3-1
21%
1-3
17%
3-2
17%
3-0
17%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+41
H2H8-2
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.