9 Nov · 07:35 MEZMedium · Model Lean
IE
🇺🇦Ihor Emets
ELO 1569
FormLWWWW
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Emets
SS
🇺🇦Serhii Solomko
ELO 1512
FormLWLWL
56%
44%
🌟Emets stays under total as favourite 63% (111)
Fair odds · Emets
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 63% · 1.60· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~72 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
18%
3-0
17%
1-3
17%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+57
H2H20-8
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+57)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (20-8)