9 Nov · 07:35 MEZMedium · Model Lean
YS
🇺🇦Yuriy Shcherbak
ELO 1359
FormWWLWL
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Shcherbak
VS
🇺🇦Viktor Sydorchuk
ELO 1299
FormWLWLL
56%
44%
Fair odds · Shcherbak
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 79% · 1.26· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~73 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
18%
3-0
17%
1-3
16%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+60
H2H30-5
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+60)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (30-5)