10 Nov · 08:15 MEZLow · Slight Edge
PW
🇺🇦Petr Wasik
ELO 1655
FormLWWWW
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Wasik
LD
🇺🇦Ladislav Dobias
ELO 1616
FormLLLWW
54%
46%
🌟Dobias covers set handicap as underdog 66% (86)
Fair odds · Wasik
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~78 pts
3-1
21%
1-3
17%
3-2
17%
3-0
17%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+39
H2H11-15
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.