10 Nov · 07:30 MEZElite · Strong Favorite
VK
🇺🇦Valentyn Kurliuk
ELO 1534
FormWLLWW
74%Win chancemodel fair 1.35Kurliuk
VM
🇺🇦Vasyl Matviichuk
ELO 1295
FormLWLWL
74%
26%
🌟Kurliuk stays under total as favourite 69% (77)
Fair odds · Kurliuk
Model 74% · 1.35vsMarket 73% · 1.38· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 57%Total ~72 pts
3-0
31%
3-1
26%
3-2
17%
2-3
11%
1-3
10%
Elo Gap+239
H2H17-16
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+239)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (17-16)