10 Nov · 08:00 MEZLow · Slight Edge
VS
🇺🇦Vihen Saakian
ELO 1499
FormWWLWL
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Saakian
MZ
🇺🇦Mykola Zavoloka
ELO 1457
FormWLWLW
54%
46%
Fair odds · Saakian
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 59% · 1.70· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~74 pts
3-1
21%
1-3
17%
3-2
17%
3-0
17%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+42
H2H5-3
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.