10 Nov · 09:05 MEZLow · Slight Edge
AM
🇺🇦Anton Molochko
ELO 1805
FormWLWWW
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Verbyany
VV
🇺🇦Vasily Verbyany
ELO 1819
FormWWWWL
48%
52%
Fair odds · Verbyany
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 46% · 2.16· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~77 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+14
H2H74-125
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.