10 Nov · 08:55 MEZMedium · Model Lean
OB
🇺🇦Oleh Bindas
ELO 1694
FormWWWLL
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Bindas
SR
🇺🇦Serhii Rak
ELO 1651
FormLLLWW
55%
45%
Fair odds · Bindas
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 67% · 1.49· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~73 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
17%
1-3
17%
3-0
17%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+43
H2H78-15
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+43)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (78-15)