10 Nov · 08:50 MEZLow · Slight Edge
YR
🇺🇦Yehor Riadynskyi
ELO 1600
FormLWWWL
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Riadynskyi
OZ
🇺🇦Oleksandr Zhyrnov
ELO 1560
FormWWLWW
54%
46%
🔥 Underdog lean · Zhyrnov
Fair odds · Riadynskyi
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 73% · 1.37· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~74 pts
3-1
21%
1-3
17%
3-2
17%
3-0
17%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+40
H2H33-10
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.