10 Nov · 10:00 MEZLow · Slight Edge
YU
🇺🇦Yurii Urezchenko
ELO 1277
FormLLLLL
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Matviichuk
VM
🇺🇦Vasyl Matviichuk
ELO 1295
FormLWLWL
48%
52%
Fair odds · Matviichuk
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 66% · 1.51· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~76 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+18
H2H46-27
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.