10 Nov · 08:30 MEZElite · Strong Favorite
YU
🇺🇦Yurii Urezchenko
ELO 1277
FormLLLLL
75%Win chancemodel fair 1.33Kurliuk
VK
🇺🇦Valentyn Kurliuk
ELO 1534
FormWLLWW
25%
75%
🌟Kurliuk stays under total as favourite 69% (77)
Fair odds · Kurliuk
Model 75% · 1.33vsMarket 85% · 1.18· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 58%Total ~74 pts
0-3
32%
1-3
26%
2-3
17%
3-2
10%
3-1
10%
Elo Gap+257
H2H16-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+257)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (16-1)