10 Nov · 09:30 MEZMedium · Model Lean
DK
🇺🇦Dmitro Kuzmenko
ELO 1415
FormWLLWL
58%Win chancemodel fair 1.72Kuzmenko
SM
🇺🇦Serhii Miroshnychenko
ELO 1340
FormLLWWL
58%
42%
Fair odds · Kuzmenko
Model 58% · 1.72vsMarket 59% · 1.70· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~72 pts
3-1
22%
3-2
18%
3-0
18%
1-3
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+75
H2H70-49
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+75)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (70-49)