10 Nov · 07:05 MEZMedium · Model Lean
AM
🇺🇦Anton Molochko
ELO 1805
FormWLWWW
58%Win chancemodel fair 1.72Molochko
BK
🇺🇦Bohdan Kohut
ELO 1725
FormWLLLW
58%
42%
Fair odds · Molochko
Model 58% · 1.72vsMarket 64% · 1.56· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~76 pts
3-1
22%
3-2
18%
3-0
18%
1-3
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+80
H2H106-45
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+80)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (106-45)