10 Nov · 07:15 MEZMedium · Model Lean
PW
🇺🇦Petr Wasik
ELO 1655
FormLWWWW
58%Win chancemodel fair 1.72Wasik
MK
🇺🇦Martin Kocvara
ELO 1580
FormLWWLL
58%
42%
🌟Kocvara covers set handicap as underdog 65% (148)
Fair odds · Wasik
Model 58% · 1.72vsMarket 65% · 1.55· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~77 pts
3-1
22%
3-2
18%
3-0
18%
1-3
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+75
H2H2-2
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+75)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)