10 Nov · 08:30 MEZMedium · Model Lean
OM
🇺🇦Oleksandr Mytsyk
ELO 1494
FormLWLLL
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Voinarovskyi
FV
🇺🇦Fedir Voinarovskyi
ELO 1541
FormLWWWL
45%
55%
Fair odds · Voinarovskyi
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 62% · 1.60· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~74 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
17%
3-1
17%
0-3
17%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+47
H2H14-6
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+47)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (14-6)