10 Nov · 10:20 MEZHigh · Clear Favorite
AN
🇺🇦Anatolii Nazarov
ELO 1467
FormLWLLL
64%Win chancemodel fair 1.56Riadynskyi
YR
🇺🇦Yehor Riadynskyi
ELO 1600
FormLWWWL
36%
64%
Fair odds · Riadynskyi
Model 64% · 1.56vsMarket 63% · 1.60· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 46%Total ~75 pts
1-3
24%
0-3
22%
2-3
18%
3-2
14%
3-1
13%
Elo Gap+133
H2H61-51
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+133)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (61-51)