10 Nov · 09:30 MEZMedium · Model Lean
VK
🇺🇦Valentyn Kurliuk
ELO 1534
FormWLLWW
58%Win chancemodel fair 1.72Kurliuk
MZ
🇺🇦Mykola Zavoloka
ELO 1457
FormWLWLW
58%
42%
🌟Kurliuk stays under total as favourite 69% (77)
Fair odds · Kurliuk
Model 58% · 1.72vsMarket 75% · 1.33· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~73 pts
3-1
22%
3-2
18%
3-0
18%
1-3
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+77
H2H5-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+77)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (5-0)