10 Nov · 07:35 MEZMedium · Model Lean
DZ
🇺🇦Dmytro Zeniuk
ELO 1774
FormLWLLL
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Verbyany
VV
🇺🇦Vasily Verbyany
ELO 1819
FormWWWWL
45%
55%
🌟Zeniuk covers set handicap as underdog 66% (140)
Fair odds · Verbyany
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 49% · 2.06· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~76 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
17%
3-1
17%
0-3
17%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+45
H2H59-49
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+45)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (59-49)